defenseanalysis.org
Analysis
Blog
General Discussion
Mission Matrix
Why is Military Fiction included?
Military Fiction Scenarios on defenseanalysis.org are rooted in real-world defense analyses:
Four (4) dominant scenarios that stress different dimensions.
High-intensity gray zone conflict with China (2027- 2032) — the utility of military fiction: tests surge, industrial base, contested logistics, space/cyber-attack, escalation control.
Violent Extremist Organization (VEO) incursions into North America – the utility of military fiction: decision making amid extreme or novel adversary behaviors, model unconventional threats, inter-agency coordination & preparedness stressed.
Homeland critical infrastructure cyberattack — the utility of military fiction: tests dual-use, civil-military, governance, legal adjustments.
Climate-driven humanitarian surge — the utility of military fiction: tests logistics resilience, energy transition.
“Strategy without tactics is the slowest route to victory. Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat.” —
Sun Tzu
“The more you sweat in peace, the less you bleed in war.” —
Norman Schwarzkopf
Upcoming events
-

Warfare Innovation Continuum Workshop
September 22 - 25, 2025
With one overarching design challenge, ten teams of junior officers and early career engineers will be facilitated through a rapid concept generation process using tools of warfighter-centered design. Each team will present their best concepts on the final morning of the workshop, and these seeds of ideas will inform class projects, thesis work, and research across the NPS campus throughout FY26.
Topics of interest within this year’s challenge include Allies & Partners, Artificial Intelligence, C-C5ISRT, Future Hybrid Fleet, IFCs, Joint C2, Long Range Targeting & Fires, Maritime Industrial Base, Maritime Space, MOC Ops, Sea Control, Seabed Warfare, and Sustainment.
-

AUSA Annual Meeting & Exposition
October 13-15, 2025
The Association of the United States Army (AUSA) Annual Meeting & Exposition is the premier land power exposition and professional development forum in North America—and the must-attend event for anyone involved in the defense sector. With over 44,000 attendees, 750+ exhibits, and representation from 92 countries, this three-day event is where the global defense community converges to shape the future of national security.
Held in the heart of the nation's capital, the AUSA Annual Meeting is more than just a trade show—it's a strategic platform that connects military leaders, industry innovators, policymakers, and international delegations. Attendees gain exclusive insights into U.S. Army priorities, explore cutting-edge technologies, and engage in high-impact networking with key decision-makers.
In 2025, AUSA proudly celebrates the U.S. Army's 250th birthday—This We'll Defend!
-

Interservice/Industry Training, Simulation and Education Conference (I/ITSEC)
December 1 - 4, 2025
The Interservice/Industry Training, Simulation and Education Conference (I/ITSEC) is the world’s largest and most influential event dedicated to modeling, simulation, and training (MS&T). Held annually in December in Orlando, Florida, I/ITSEC brings together thousands of professionals from defense, industry, academia, and international allies to explore the technologies, strategies, and partnerships that are shaping the future of training and operational readiness.
In recent news, it was revealed that the United States may provide Ukraine with Tomahawk missile systems, Tomahawks are subsonic, terrain following, long range precision strike missile systems. These systems come in multiple variants and are further categorized by “blocks” which indicate the level of modernization. It is assumed that the Tomahawks that are to be provided to Ukraine are land-based systems of the block V modernization category. (U) The block V category includes improved navigation, increased range and communications with datalink technologies. Providing these systems to Ukraine is a bad idea, a provocation that may lead to an escalation that we don’t want…